By Dominique Moïsi (geopolitologist, special advisor to the Montaigne Institute.)
“Trump will be re-elected President of the United States and Russia will impose its peace conditions on Ukraine.” That was on July 20. Just on the eve of Joe Biden’s decision not to run again. My interlocutor, who summarized his thoughts for me in this way, is a very high-ranking officer in the French army. He was simply translating the consensus that could exist at the beginning of the summer within the French and probably global elites.
This double resignation is no longer on the agenda. In the space of just over a month, hope has changed sides. Wouldn’t it be more accurate to say that hope is back? By withdrawing very late from the race for the White House, Joe Biden openly chose Kamala Harris. There was no time to organize a real campaign within the Democratic Party.