Donald Trump brings together his security team in the situation room of the White House after abandoning the Canadian G7 in advance for the Middle Eastern crisis and evaluates the hypothesis of entering the war with Israel against Iran, despite having always promised the election campaign to want to avoid new conflicts for the US.
He has already asked for an “unconditional surrender” of the Islamic Republic, after inviting everyone to evacuate Tehran and notified that “now we have complete and total control of the skies above Iran” thanks to the US military technological superiority. Also threatened Ali Khamenei: “We know exactly where the so -called ‘supreme leader’ is hidden. It is an easy target, but there is safely. We will not eliminate it (we will not kill him!), At least not for now. But we don’t want missiles to be launched against American civilians or soldiers. Our patience is about to be exhausted”.
On the table the option of launching an American attack against Iranian nuclear infrastructures, in particular the underground enrichment system of Fordow uranium, deeply buried and reachable only by the largest “bunker buster” USA: it is the Massive Ordnance penetrator, or GBU -57, and weighs so much – 13,700 kg – which can only be raised by a B -2 bomber. Israel has neither the weapon nor the bomber necessary to bring it to altitude and release it over the goal.
Israel war or even America?
Until Monday, when he was at the G7, Trump insisted on an agreement with Iran, I give him almost taken for granted. He is now showing the muscles, also strengthening the American military presence in the Middle East, with other military hunting and the nimitz carrier. But if the combination of persuasion and coercion fails, he will have to decide whether this is the war of Israel or that of America. Iranian officials have already warned that the participation of the United States in an attack in its plants would endanger any residual possibility of reaching the agreement on nuclear disarmament that Trump says he wants to still pursue. Returning from the G7, aboard the Air Force One, the Commander in Chief ventilated the possibility of sending the special correspondent Steve Witkoff or vice -president JD Vance to meet Iranian negotiators, explaining that he wants “a real end” to the Iranian nuclear question, and not just one ceased between Iran and Israel. If one of the two were to meet the Iranians, according to the New York Times, the probable interlocutor would be the Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, who played a key role in the 2015 nuclear agreement with the Obama administration and knows every element of the vast Iranian nuclear complex.
But now they seem to climb the chances of the military option. Two Israeli officials told Axios that Benjamin Netanyahu and his defense apparatus continue to believe that Trump could decide to enter the war in the next few days to bomb the Fordow plant. So far, the United States have helped Israel to defend themselves from arriving missiles, but have refused to participate in offensive operations. Within a few days, however, we have gone from the line “It is not our operation” A “We now check the Iranian skies”.
The response of the congress
Trump has to deal with Congress, where a bipartisan group of deputies presented a resolution that prohibits the “American armed forces to undertake unauthorized hostilities against the Islamic Republic of Iran”, because “the Constitution does not allow the executive power to unilaterally commit an act of war against a country that has not attacked the United States”. The sorceress world, contrary to any American interventionism, is in revolt: in the front row the former Fox News Anchor and now influential Podcaster Tucker Carlson. At the Pentagon the opinions are divided for other reasons. Elbridge A. Colby, Undersecretary for Defense for Politics, has been claiming for some time that every military resource dedicated to wars in the Middle East is distorted by the Pacific and the containment of China.
The appeals of the G7, the words of Merz
Appeals arrive from the G7 to return to the negotiating table, as Emmanuel Macron asked, with a warning against any attempt to change regime that would lead to “chaos”. But German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has recognized that Israel “is doing dirty work for all of us” in Iran, and that “if Tehran does not go back, the complete destruction of the Iranian nuclear program is on the agenda, which Israel cannot achieve alone”. “Israel has the courage to do dirty work for all of us.” So the German Chancellor Friedrich Merz expressed himself on Tuesday 17 June, referring to the attacks conducted by Israel against Iranian objectives. Speaking to the Zdf television network on the sidelines of the top of the G7, Merz said that the Iranian regime “brought death and destruction in the world” and that, without the Israeli intervention, “perhaps we would have continued to undergo the terrorism of this regime for months or years, which perhaps would even have been able to equip itself with the atomic weapon”.
Israelis raids and Iranian reactions
His words come in the middle of a military escalation that risks setting fire to the Middle East. After days of clashes, the Israeli aeronautics announced a series of raids against missile stations in the west of Iran. The nuclear site of Natanz is also in the sights. The International Agency for Atomic Energy (AIEA) has confirmed “direct impacts” on the underground structures of the system, changing a previous evaluation based on low resolution satellite images.
Explosions in Tehran, a commander who died
The conflict also reached the Iranian capital. Two strong explosions were heard in the center and northern of Tehran. According to the Israeli army, a high Iranian commander, Ali Shadmani, was killed, described as a leading figure and very close to the supreme guide Ali Khamenei.
The response of the Guardians of the Revolution
The Iranian response was not long in coming. The Guardians of the Revolution declared that they hit a center of Mossad and Israeli military intelligence in Aman, in Tel Aviv. General Kioumars Heidari spoke of “strategic positions” affected by Tel Aviv and Haifa through drones with “attack and precision capacity”.
International appeals to calm
On a diplomatic level, international reactions multiply. Chinese President Xi Jinping asked all parts to work for a rapid de-Escalation and has reaffirmed the opposition of China to any violation of the sovereignty of others. On the contrary, the former US president Donald Trump invoked “a real end” of the conflict, excluding a simple one ceased the fire, while Beijing accused him of “throwing petrol on the fire”.
Tehran accuses the G7 of partiality
Iran criticized the G7 for not condemning Israeli operations on its territory. “The G7 must abandon its unilateral rhetoric,” said the spokesman of the Iranian foreign ministry on X, Esmaïl Baghaï, adding: “Iran defends himself from a brutal aggression. Iran has really other alternatives? ».
Collecting health system in the Gaza Strip
The situation also has consequences for the civilian population. In Gaza, according to the World Health Organization, the health system is “to the breaking point”. “For over 100 days no fuel has entered and attempts to recover stocks have been rejected,” explained Rik Peeperkorn, representative of WHO in the Palestinian territories. Only 17 of the 36 hospitals work, and in a reduced form: the available beds are half of the pre-conclusion ones.
Massacre to Khan Youunis near a help center
On Tuesday morning, in the city of Khan Youunis, at least 50 people would have been killed and over 200 wounds near an aid distribution center. According to local civil defense, Israeli drones and tanks have hit the crowd. The Israeli army has made it known that what happened is “examining”.
Evacuations from Iran and Israel
The fear of an enlargement of the conflict has pushed several countries to evacuate its citizens. China invited compatriots to leave Iran immediately. Thailand also started preparations for the repatriation of about 4,000 of its citizens in Israel and 300 in Iran, mainly employed as agricultural workers. According to Azere sources, over 600 foreigners of fifteen nationality have already been evacuated by Iran towards Azebairgian.
(Redazionefconline)
