As we know, all over the world the crisis of the birth rate causes big concerns. In this country neighboring France, concern is great: almost 50% of the population could disappear by the end of the century. Several factors are involved.
In France, the birth rate has reached historically low levels in recent years. Last year, the number of birth number was down again: with 663,000 births, it had thus fell by 2.2% to reach the lowest level observed since the end of the Second World War, according to INSEE data. And elsewhere in Europe? With our neighbors, the situation is also alarming …
Indeed, a country must be concerned in particular: Italy. The birth rate in the boot is significantly lower than the European Union average, making it one of the countries most affected by the demographic decline. In Italy, the fertility rate is around 1.2 children per woman. This figure is the lowest ever recorded in the history of the country, even falling in 2024 below the previous minimum of 1995 …
A situation that has consequences. As reported Italianismo“Italy could lose up to half of its population by 2100 (…) according to the United Nations (UN) projections (UN), the Italian population could drop from around 59 million to 27.4 million by the end of the century, in the weak fertility scenario. Even in the average scenario, the number should fall to 35.4 million. “
This phenomenon is accentuated by several factors: high unemployment, especially among young people, of low wages while a child costs a lot of money as well as difficulties in finding affordable and dignified accommodation to live with family. In addition, Italy has one of the oldest populations in the world. The number of deaths exceeds that of births, resulting in a negative natural balance. Finally, the emigration of qualified young people, who go to seek better opportunities abroad, accentuates this crisis by reducing the number of people of childbearing age and working.
In Italy, it is mainly in the south of the country – in regions such as Puglia, basilicate or calabria – that the risks are the most increased. “”According to new estimates (…) South Italy, poorer than the rest of the country, could lose up to half of its population, or 8 million people, by 2080“, Precise International mail. To combat this decline, current authorities have implemented various financial aid. It remains to be seen in the long term if they will bear fruit.
