There rise in property prices in Paris will not have lasted long. In an economic note published this Wednesday, October 29, the notaries of Greater Paris are counting on a average price per square meter at 9,550 euros in the capital for December 2025. That is a drop of 0.6% compared to the current level of 9,610 euros per square meter. A step back certainly “light”admit the notaries of Greater Paris, but which still marks an inflection compared to the rise of 1.1% recorded over the last 12 months, after a fall of almost 10% in two years, when credit rates flirted with 4%.
This “slight decline” applies to the whole of Ile-de-France, with notaries in Greater Paris anticipating a decline of 0.8% in prices of old apartments in the region by December, to 6,150 euros on average, compared to 6,200 euros currently. A decline which, again, contrasts with the 0.9% increase over the last 12 months. “The Ile-de-France residential market enters the fall in a precarious balance. Volumes are slowly recovering but, in a context of strong political and economic uncertainties, and taking into account the prudence of households and the stability of credit rates, activity should remain moderate in the coming months, as will price developments.explain the notaries.
The duration of ownership of housing in Paris at its highest level in 20 years
An analysis confirmed by the National Real Estate Federation (Fnaim), in a note published this Wednesday: “The recovery (in sales) seems to have moderated in recent months, with economic and political uncertainty weighing on buyer confidence. Furthermore, the real estate loan rates have stopped falling since March 2025 to stabilize around 3%”.
Even if slight, a resumption of the fall in prices in Paris will not encourage owners to sell their properties, while the supply is already low in the capital. The duration of housing ownership in Paris amounted to at the end of 2024 13 years on average, “a 20-year high”underline the notaries, who see this as the consequence of the fall in prices between 2022 and 2024. This having “significantly” reduces the expected added value on resale, or even generates potential “capital losses for certain properties acquired at the peak of the market”the owners prefer to postpone their sales plans, decipher the notaries. “The link between price evolution and holding period is particularly evident on the Parisian market”they emphasize. With “A risk of chain blocking»owners of small apartments waiting for better days to sell them in order to have the means to buy bigger.
