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Home » Mortgage Squeeze Pushes US Housing Market Into Deep Freeze
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Mortgage Squeeze Pushes US Housing Market Into Deep Freeze

By News Room29 May 20264 Mins Read
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The US housing market is starting to seize up as home purchase lending falls to its lowest level in 12 years, luring more Americans out of ownership while high borrowing costs push deeper into household budgets and local economies.

Roughly 581,000 home purchase loans were originated during the first quarter of 2026, down 19% from the previous quarter, according to new data from real estate analytics firm ATTOM. Mortgage rates have remained above 6% while home prices continue hovering near record highs across much of the country, leaving many buyers priced out before they even begin searching seriously.

What initially looked like a temporary pullback is now hitting nearly every corner of the housing market. Lending activity weakened across most major metro areas analyzed by ATTOM, while refinancing and home equity borrowing also moved lower as households became more hesitant about taking on new debt.

Housing weakness rarely stays contained for long because so many industries depend on people buying, moving and borrowing. When fewer homes change hands, spending tied to renovations, appliances, furniture and local services often cools alongside it. Slower lending activity can also reduce construction pipelines and weaken industries that rely heavily on steady housing demand.

Mortgage rates climbed from 6.16% at the start of the year to 6.46% by early April, according to Freddie Mac data cited in the report. Even relatively small increases are now hitting harder buyers because affordability had already been stretched thin by years of rising prices and elevated monthly costs.

Open houses are still attracting interest in many cities, but far fewer buyers are following through once mortgage payments, insurance costs and taxes are added together. That hesitation is becoming increasingly visible across the market.

ATTOM said total residential mortgage originations — including purchases, refinancing and HELOC loans — fell 13% quarter over quarter to 1.57 million loans worth roughly $577.7 billion. Purchase lending alone totaled nearly $237 billion during the quarter, down 18% from late 2025.

The pullback is no longer isolated to a few overheated cities. Residential lending declined quarter over quarter in more than 96% of the 200 metro areas analyzed by ATTOM, while purchase activity fell in 99% of them.

In cities like St. Louis, Rochester and Pittsburgh, the declines were especially severe. Analysts pointed to limited housing supply and years of rising ownership costs leaving buyers with fewer workable options even as demand for homeownership remains strong underneath the surface.

Many existing homeowners are also staying put because moving would mean giving up mortgage rates secured years ago in favor of far more expensive financing today. That lock-in effect has quietly become one of the biggest forces restricting inventory and slowing mobility across the housing market.

The concern inside housing is no longer simply whether sales are slowing. It is whether elevated borrowing costs are starting to fundamentally reshape how long younger Americans delay ownership, relocation and other major financial decisions tied to long-term stability.

The slowdown is landing at a difficult moment for the against economy. Consumer spending has already shown signs of becoming more defensive in recent months as higher costs tied to energy, food and borrowing continue weighing on household budgets. Housing weakness adds another layer of caution because real estate activity tends to support jobs and spending across multiple sectors at once.

Across the country, almost every metro area saw lending retreat during the quarter. ATTOM found just two exceptions: Yuma and Tucson, Arizona.

More buyers are starting to wonder whether these conditions are becoming the new normal. For many households, the housing market no longer feels briefly expensive or difficult to navigate. It is starting to feel structurally out of reach, arriving at a moment when confidence in the wider economy is already becoming harder to hold onto.

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